India's
IT industry does protest too much. Its latest peeve is that the US has
decided to steeply hike from $2300 to about $4300, the cost of a H-1B
visa required for entry into the US of temporary skilled workers from
abroad. The new Border Security Bill passed by the US Senate and signed
into law by the President, which incorporates the relevant provisions,
is in its view protectionist and discriminatory. It is seen as reflecting
the political misuse of security concerns to appease local workers in
the run-up to the Congressional elections in November by penalising
foreign companies using legitimate means to deliver IT or IT-enabled
services.
The industry is also peeved because Charles Schumer, one of the Senators
who piloted the bill through Congress, referred to Indian IT outsourcing
companies as ''chop shops'' – derogatory slang for sheds in which stolen
cars are stripped of their parts for subsequent sale. The Senator has
subsequently clarified that what he meant was that they were ''body
shops'', and has apologised for his error. But, with the debate referring
to the fact that the largest users of H-1B visa are IT ''giants'' such
as Infosys, Tata Consultancy Services, Wipro and Mahindra Satyam, the
''body shop'' label is also an indictment of an industry that sees itself
as a technology leader and a symbol of India's post-reform success.
It suggests that the Senator has not retracted his view that foreign,
especially Indian, IT companies ''outsource good, high-paying American
technology jobs to lower wage, temporary immigrant workers from other
countries.''
But the Indian government too has come out in defence of its post-reform,
poster-child. India's Commerce Minister, Anand Sharma, has reportedly
written to the US trade representative, Ron Kirk, protesting the new
legislation, describing it as ''inexplicable'' and stating that it would
have ''an adverse impact on the competitiveness and commercial interests
of Indian companies sending professionals to undertake projects locally
for American customers in the US.'' An estimate, of uncertain reliability,
doing the rounds is that the US move would increase visa costs for Indian
companies by as much as $200 million.
To clarify, the bill while having an impact on the Indian IT industry
is not directed solely at it. Its stated concern is to strengthen security
along Mexico's border with the United States by hiring another 1000
border patrol agents and 500 immigration and customs officials, besides
deploying additional drones to monitor the border. With this drive against
illegal Mexican immigrants at the border estimated to cost around $600
million, the bill seeks to finance the cost of strengthening border
security by hiking visa fees paid by companies employing more than 50
people in which more than half the work force consists of temporary
migrants holding H-1B or L-1 visas.
It is obvious that the Bill is political in nature in that it seeks
to appease two constituencies in the run-up to elections in November.
One is a section of the local population in states like Arizona which
feels that illegal immigration across the Southwest border has gone
out of control. The other is American workers who having just come out
of a recession are faced with inadequate employment recovery, and see
foreign workers as outcompeting them by underselling themselves. The
Bill is also protectionist in intent, since foreign companies would
be employing a high share of temporary skilled workers brought from
abroad and therefore would be more affected by this particular levy.
Interestingly, the bill was passed by unanimous consent and signed into
law very quickly, pointing to the political consensus around the issue.
What is surprising is that the Indian industry expected the US government,
Democrat or Republican, to act differently. In fact President Obama
is possibly more intent than many Republicans on bringing jobs he sees
as diverted abroad or to foreigners back to Americans.
Part of the reason the industry refuses to recognise that it is prone
to actions of this kind is possibly the fact that it has been pampered
too much at home. More than 10 years after it was first granted special
tax benefits, the industry, which sees itself as being in the forefront
of an emerging knowledge economy, as having pioneered a global delivery
model, and could perhaps boast that it has delivered the largest number
of first generation millionaires in the country, fights hard to keep
those concessions. In doing so, it is not above board. It constantly
demands that the government ''keep-off'', arguing that its rise has
been driven purely by private initiative, when actually implicit subsidies
(tax concessions), liberal trading rules and infrastructural support
from government agencies have been crucial in delivering large profits
and driving market valuations. Nothing is more revealing than the fact
that an Annexe on revenues foregone in the papers relating to Budget
2010-11 estimates that in 2008-09 the ''effective tax rate'' on 8166
firms identified as ''Software Development Agencies'' was 11.8 per cent
and that on 6493 firms identifies as ''IT Enabled Services, BPO Service
Providers'' was 13.1 per cent. The effective tax rate is the ratio of
total taxes paid [including surcharge and education cess but excluding
Dividend Distribution Tax and Fringe Benefit Tax] to the total profits
before taxes [PBT]. This compares with statutory tax rate of 33.99 per
cent which should have applied if no concessions were being provided.
Since input and capital costs are low in this service industry, and
cheap skilled labour is its strength, profits do constitute a high share
of per worker incomes. This concession is therefore a bonanza, which
even today the industry zealously lobbies for.
The industry is also privileged relative to the IT hardware sector.
While the early thrust of information technology policy in the country
was to build a strong hardware industry, at least in the area of small
computers where the domestic market was bound to be large in course
of time, since the 1990s regulations on access to imports of hardware
have been completely liberalised and duties have been slashed to extremely
low levels to support software and services export units. In the event,
the domestic hardware market has been swamped by foreign players importing
complete knocked down machines. Domestic demand is largely serviced
by foreign brands, with a few stray domestic players accounting for
a declining market share, while the domestic ''industry'', including
players who started in hardware such as Wipro are focused on the services
export market.
Given these special privileges granted over a prolonged period, one
question that has constantly been posed is whether there are adequate
reasons to justify their provision. One ground on which it can be justified
is, of course, the fact that the industry is an important foreign exchange
earner. With manufacturing having failed to live up to the government's
claims on what liberalisation would do to India's industrial competitiveness
and export success, this is indeed a contribution that cannot be belittled.
But that definitely does not warrant a set of tax concessions that make
the effective tax rate less than half of the statutory rate and remain
in place for as long as they have. Further, if a visa fee hike can be
labelled a protectionist measure that violates trade rules, a tax concession
of this kind can be attacked for amounting to an export subsidy that
does the same.
The other ground on which prolonged and generous government support
can be justified is that the industry is a technology leader and furthers
India's push into high technology exports. This is an area where both
evidence is thin and unanimity lacking. The industry argues that even
though it is a services exporter, it has over the years moved up the
value chain and into higher margin, high technology areas, rather than
surviving on the legacy of cheap skilled labour that the Nehruvian import-substituting
strategy has left behind. However, while all of the industry cannot
be dismissed as a high tech sweat-shop exporting cheap skills through
actual (H-1B visa-based) or digital migration, there are a number of
features of the industry that are disconcerting given its lifespan and
the support it has garnered from government.
To start with, while the technology issue remains unresolved and the
claims of high- or low-technology dominance unproven, it is true that
there are very few software product markets where the Indian industry
has found a foothold and even fewer proprietary products in which it
commands significant market share. India is a service provider and matters
in products only as a supplier of hired engineering support. Secondly,
the industry has in recent times been characterised by a much faster
growth of the BPO segment, which on no account can be considered a high
technology area. Third, the US still accounts for around 60 per cent
of the industry's exports and the UK for around 18 per cent, making
the industry extremely vulnerable to developments in specific markets.
And finally, as is evident from the current controversy over the visa
fee hike, the industry is still significantly dependent on onsite delivery
of services using cheap Indian staff rather than more expensive local
workers, making it susceptible to changes of the recent kind in rules
governing the movement of temporary workers.
Put these together and the weaknesses of an industry that has received
privileged treatment for more than a decade seem to be one too many.
Rather than using its lobbying strength to conceal these weaknesses
so as to continue to be favoured, the industry could look inwards and
address some of these problems. It obviously has the clout to still
influence domestic government policy. But to believe it can pressurise
the government of a foreign country which is its main market to ignore
its own domestic compulsions is to be overcome by hubris. Maybe the
problem is too much protection and pampering at home. Depending less
on government support at home could possibly encourage the industry
to adopt strategies to meet the rising competitive challenge abroad
without having to pay workers less than the going wage.