The
illogical nature of the belief in downsizing as panacea is especially
evident in the banking sector, which is currently the focus of the "second
generation reforms". A reading of the financial press would suggest
that the attempt to reduce employment in public sector banks through
Voluntary Retirement Schemes is immensely desirable and much to be lauded.
Yet it would be hard for even the most avid job-cutter to argue that
the spread of banking service in our country is adequate to meet the
needs of the population or of the growing economy.
Indeed,
if banking is to serve its social function of financial intermediation,
the sector as a whole needs to employ many more people in more places
in the country, and to expand in terms of branches and activities. Instead,
what we are witnessing is a systematic attempt to pare down many of
the public sector banks prior to privatisation, and to reduce their
ability to deliver various financial services. Of course privatisation
in turn would result in additional, and more significant, job loss.
None
of this needs to happen. Some of the trade unions of bank workers had
in fact got together to work out a recovery and restructuring package
for several problem-ridden public sector banks, which would not only
make them financially viable but would allow them to increase their
level of service provision. This proposal got short shrift from the
Finance Minister, who claimed that he could not spare the Rs. 5,000
crore that would be required for this scheme. By contrast, the government
is apparently willing to spend more than Rs. 7,000 crore on the Voluntary
Retirement Scheme, which does not more than reduce the number of employees.
The purely political nature of such expenditure decisions could not
be more clear.
The
downsizing bug is not confined to those in control of government or
public sector enterprises. It is now the mantra of the private
sector as well. And each merger or acquisition is met with eventual
reduction in staff, as the recent merger of two foreign banks, Standard
Chartered and ANZ Grindlays, is illustrating in India at the moment.
What
those advocating such downsizing tend to forget is that the issue involves
much more than justified concern about the fate of the workers who lose
their jobs in this process. It also tends to involve a genuine loss
of efficient functioning as the remaining workers are forced into additional
workload and insecure contracts. International experience, from countries
as far apart as England and Brazil, suggests that the costs of obsessive
downsizing of the workforce can be severe and even socially damaging.
Thus,
in Britain, the reduction of staff strength in the privatised railway
system has been associated with a near collapse of the system, with
many more accidents, inordinate delays, frequent unannounced changes
of schedule and apparently a much more surly workforce which is made
to work longer and more intensely without security of contract. Similarly,
the Latin American privatisations of several important public utilities
has implied not just job loss but also declining safety precautions
and reduced effectiveness of services as those workers who remain in
employment find themselves unable to match the delivery levels associated
with the earlier higher employment.
Quite
apart from these supply-side considerations, there is the obvious Keynesian
point to be made, that public employment is also necessary because it
creates purchasing power which is important even from the point of view
private growth. Keynes famously argued that in an economy with unutilised
capacity, simply getting workers to dig holes and then fill them again
would serve as positive economic purpose because it would increase effective
demand, and therefore production, by a multiple of the wages paid to
such workers. This simple point tends to be forgotten today, but that
does not make it any less relevant.
In
a world context of substantial aggregate unemployment, such labour reduction
strategies are therefore hard to justify in any economy-wide perception,
and can only be explained by private agents' desire for short term
profitability at any cost. But such motivations are not supposed to
determine government's actions, which is why societies choose to
have governments in the first place.
This
is what makes the current Indian's government's obsession
with downsizing so bizarre. And seen in the immediate macroeconomic
context, of declining growth rates in all sectors, poor aggregate employment
generation and huge wastage of the country's human resources, such
a fixation is nothing short of obscene.