In
what would be a first for India, a minority foreign investor, and
that too a hedge fund looking for capital gains, has challenged
the right of the government to pursue policies it presumes is in
the national interest. The company involved here is Coal India,
considered one of the world's largest coal producers in a country
that has among the largest coal reserves. Not too long back, in
October last year, a government in search of receipts from privatisation
decided to sell 10 per cent of the equity in India's publicly owned
coal-producing giant. The sale, through an initial pubic offering,
attracted bids at the top end of the Rs. 225 to Rs. 245 price range,
valuing the company at $35 billion.
What is more the issue was oversubscribed to the extent of 12 times
the offer on the third day of the IPO. This should not have come
as a surprise. The company had recorded profits of close to Rs.
100 billion in the year prior to the issue. It had rights to mine
large coal reserves access to which was being eased by relaxing
environmental norms whenever required. And it was sitting on a cash
reserve of close to Rs. 400 billion, a part of which it claimed
was to be invested in acquiring assets globally.
Further, this trophy buy was being put on sale when huge quantities
of cheap liquidity had been pumped into the world economy in response
to the crisis. Financial institutions with access to near-zero cost
funds were rushing into emerging markets that had not done too badly
during the crisis years and were open to foreign investment flows.
India was one such country and Coal India one such beneficiary.
Among the investors who successfully picked up a stake in Coal India,
to emerge the largest foreign investor in the company, was a hedge
fund with an unusual name: The Children's Investment Fund (TCI).
But it is not TCI's name that has brought it to the attention of
the Indian state. Rather it is the fact that the fund, despite being
a relatively small minority shareholder with an estimated 2 per
cent stake, has decided to challenge Coal India's policies and practices.
In a letter sent on March 12, reportedly addressed to the members
of Coal India's board (Financial
Times, March 13, 2012) the fund has accused the company
of acting against the interests of its shareholders by ''not acting
independently of India's government'' and through ''acquiescence
to interference by the Prime Minister's Office'' on coal prices,
among other things. As evidence it has produced a letter obtained
under the Right to Information Act written by the Secretary, Coal,
Government of India, instructing the company to reverse a decision
that would have hugely enhanced the profits of the coal producing
public monopoly.
The main issue here is Coal India's reversal of its early-2012 decision
to adopt a pricing mechanism under which coal was to be priced based
on its gross calorific value (GCV) rather than its useful heat value
(UHV), which was the principle adhered to till then. While justified
by Coal India on the grounds that this would ensure parity with
international prices, the change in pricing principle was opposed
by user industries with the NTPC arguing, for example, that it would
raise the price of certain grades of coal by as much as 179 per
cent and hike power generation costs by as much as 40 per cent.
This was tantamount to Coal India exploiting its monopoly at the
expense of the rest of the economy.
Faced with the opposition, and pressure from its parent Ministry,
the company decided to go back on that decision at the end of January,
resulting in an average 12.5 per cent fall in prices that would
be implemented with retrospective effect from January 1, 2012. TCI
finds this and other policies unacceptable, on the ground that it
works against the interests of minority shareholders and smacks
of being ''reckless and lacking integrity''.
Campaigns such as this are typical of TCI's strategy. The Children's
Investment fund was established by a successful hedge fund manager,
Christopher Hohn. Son of a Jamaican car mechanic, with degrees from
Southampton University and the Harvard Business School, and an enviable
track record in the hedge fund business, Hohn was unusual. He established
an activist hedge fund with an aggressive strategy. Supported by
pension funds, insurance companies and investors like the Yale University
endowment, he invested in companies assessed as being capable of
increasing shareholder value if they are restructured through mergers
or asset sales. He often, therefore, used TCI's presence as a shareholder
to force even dramatic changes in company policy, taking on big
players if necessary. Thus Hohn is famous for two major activist
forays, among others. The first was his campaign in 2005 to stall
the bid by Deutsche Börse to merge with the London Stock Exchange,
resulting in the exit of Werner Seifert who was then the Chief Executive
of the former. The other was his role in 2007 in pushing ABN Amro
to sell out to the Royal Bank of Scotland. What was shocking was
the ability of Hohn to influence these deals with his own profits
in mind, though he was by no means a dominant shareholder. With
activism of this kind and an ability to deliver returns of 40 per
cent during the good times, Christopher Hohn gained in notoriety.
However, he tempered this aggressiveness through his philanthropic
side. He set up along with his wife the Children's Investment Fund
Foundation (CIFF), a charity working with children in Africa, Asia
and elsewhere to which he diverts a share of the profits derived
from TCI. CIFF is now one of Britain's largest charities. As The
Economist noted as far back as 2007, ''Charity may be good for business.
Not that there is any doubt of Mr Hohn's sincerity-close friends
say he is passionate about his charity in private-but his philanthropy
may prove useful protection. The commercial success of active investors,
in the form of both hedge funds and private equity, has made them
politically vulnerable. Attacks on the locusts have spread from
Germany to Britain, America and Japan over the past year; trade
unionists, politicians and journalists have called for their activities
to be restricted. In this atmosphere the decision to funnel TCI's
profits to the poor looks less like an act of insane generosity
than a remarkable piece of far-sightedness.''
It is an aggressive player like Mr. Hohn who has now decided to
take on the public sector in the form of Coal India. What is important
is that he has declared that once the government divests equity
in a company to mobilise resources for its budget, then the company
can no more act under instructions from the state. In what amounted
to a threat, Oscar Veldhuijzen, a partner at TCI reportedly told
the Financial Times: ''Coal India have to understand that if they
mess around and treat their company like a 100 per cent government-owned
entity, it will have major implications for the future of Indian
capital markets.''
The government is unlikely to be immediately cowed down by that
threat since it holds too large a stake and has given foreign investors
like TCI the right to exit if they are not happy with the functioning
of the company. But this is a government that is extremely concerned
about the sentiments of foreign investors. Moreover, TCI's protest
may be the first shout in what could become a campaign. Foreign
investors, even minority ones, who have come in droves into the
country and bought into the public sector, may declare any policy
that limits profiteering in the interests of development as amounting
to oppression of minority shareholders. And that may cow the government
down. Liberalisation by definition reduces the policy space open
to government. It sets new terms for the relationship between the
state and private capital, giving the latter an edge. What this
experience suggests is that this can happen when even the capital
brought in post-liberalization is a small sum and that capital derives
profits from assets created largely with public money.
*This article was originally published in
the Hindu on 14 March, 2012, and is available at
http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/columns/Chandrasekhar/article2994991.ece