In the era
of liberalised financial markets in India, it appears that even before the
dust settles on one financial crisis there is a new one in the making. The
latest is the ongoing revelation that a number of cooperative banks and
financial institutions like Provident Funds have “purchased” government
securities (g-secs) through means that flouted RBI guidelines, only to
discover that the instruments they paid for are not going to delivered by
their brokers. The matter came to light when on April 19, a NABARD team
scrutinising the accounts of the Nagpur District Central Cooperative Bank
(NDCCB), reported to the RBI that while the bank had made huge investments
in government securities, it was not in possession of the certificates for
the same. The high profile internet-based brokerage Home Trade, it
transpires, had obtained Rs. 124 crore from NDCCB for investment in
government securities, but had not delivered the certificates. Caught out
by the NABARD team, the Chairman of NDCCB, Sunil Kedar, was the first to
file a complaint against Home Trade on grounds of cheating.
Since then it has been discovered that the disease was more widespread,
involving an as yet unfathomed number of banks, financial institutions and
brokerages. According to Yashwant Sinha’s statement, besides the NDCCB,
purchases of g-secs without delivery, have been made by Wardha District
Central Cooperative Bank (Rs. 25 crore), the Osmanabad District Central
Cooperative Bank (Rs. 30 crore), the Sadaguru Jangli Maharaj Cooperative
Bank (Rs. 40 crore), the Amravati Peoples Cooperative Bank (Rs. 9.5 crore),
The Swarnayug Cooperative Bank (Rs. 58 crore) and the Raghuvanshi
Cooperative Bank (Rs. 5.4 crore). According to the Finance Minister the
brokers involved in the transactions that were not completed were, besides
Home Trade, Indramani Merchants Ltd, Kolkata, Syndicate Management
Services Ltd. Ahmedabad, Giltedge Management Services Ltd., Mumbai, and
Century Dealers Pvt. Ltd., Mumbai. In his view the sums involved were
close to Rs. 275 crore.
Sinha’s statement, of course referred only to the reports
he has received from the RBI, which relates to the set of banks from
Maharashtra. But meanwhile evidence has emerged that the spread of the
crisis is far greater. Once the NDCCB complaint had been filed, the
floodgates were opened. Besides the cooperative banks in Maharashtra, at
least 4 banks from Gujarat (Surat
Nagrik Co-operative Bank, Surat Mahila Co-operative Bank, Karamsad Urban
Co-operative Bank and Navsari Urban Co-operative Bank)
and, in an unusual turn, the Seamen’s Provident Fund, have reported having
invested large sums in as yet undelivered government securities.
When assessing the current crisis we need to take note
of the fact that this crisis comes in the wake of a series of financial
disasters over the last decade or so. We need only recall the engineered
boom in stock markets in the early 1990s which involved all major Indian
and foreign banks and the “big bull” Harshad Mehta, the subsequent
periodic instances of alleged insider trading and price rigging by
corporations and broking firms, the near collapse of UTI, the evidence of
fraudulaent lending practices by some of the apex financial institutions
and, more recently, the infamous Ketan Parekh episode involving among
others the Madhavpura Mercantile Cooperative Bank. In all cases,
investigations have focused attention on the ease with which one or more
high profile brokers or firms could access huge sums of money to play the
market.
This time too the government and the principal regulatory agencies are
seeking to dismiss the revelations as one more “scam”, involving rogue
traders operating in collaboration with unregulated financial institutions
that have access to public savings. The description of the episode as a
scam is facilitated by the fact that, though the investments in government
securities was legitimate, they were made in an unlawful manner. Thus,
they were not made in dematerialised (demat) form through a subsidiary
general ledger account as required, but in physical mode. And some of the
brokers, including Home Trade, had not been recognised fully as brokers
for transactions involving such securities. But with the “physical mode”
transactions not having led to delivery of securities the question as to
where the money went remains. Not clear say the investigating agencies,
but diversion to the stock market for speculative purposes is a “hot”
suspicion. But there is nothing to fear says Sinha, since the event is
unlikely to disturb the financial system and deposits up to Rs. 1 lakh are
insured under the Depositors Credit Insurance Fund Scheme.
The emphasis on events such as these being a scam is not without motives.
It helps detract attention from the fact that there are systemic faults in
India’s increasingly liberalised financial system. Those fault lines allow
agencies authorised to mobilise household savings to divert, in this case
through unlawful transactions involving legitimate investments in
government securities, to cross the walls which separated different areas
of financial activity during the interventionist, pre-reform years.
Consider for example the core of the current “scam” constituted by
transactions involving a set of cooperative banks and Home Trade, which
has once again seen a few hundred crores of rupees disappear into thin
air. What is surprising was that this was a “scam” that was in the making
before the very eyes of the regulators. Home Trade was an unusual venture
inasmuch as, at the time of its launch around two years back, it combined
activity in two areas which were both at a low, if not in a state of
collapse. The first was an internet venture, in the form of a portal that
provided information and entertainment to satisfy visitors interested in
its principal activity. And second, its principal activity, which was to
encourage internet trading of stocks and shares.
This dotcom brokerage, ostensibly aiming to attract small investors who
had fled markets after burning their fingers, was launched with a high
profile advertising campaign that roped in celebrities like Hrithik Roshan,
Sachin Tendulkar and Shah Rukh Khan. The campaign, estimated by one source
to have cost as much as Rs. 65 crore, was mysterious, since it long
remained silent on the product being sold, and was geared at establishing
the “Home Trade” brand and win customer confidence in the name. What it
did not fail to do was to attract public attention, leading to much media
discussion on the campaign itself.
The experience with dotcom failures, abroad and in India, that spent huge
sums of money even before earning a single unit of currency, should itself
have alerted the authorities into scrutinising the venture. More so
because, unlike conventional dotcom firms, this one had a revenue model
that made it even more risky and suspect: to earn money through brokerage
fees from small investors at a time when the market was by no means
booming. The case for suspicion and a modicum of scrutiny would have been
strengthened if the regulatory authorities had examined the antecedents of
the promoters and its Chief Executive, Sanjay Agarwal.
Agarwal came to Home Trade with a reputation, built during his days with
Lloyd’s Brokerage set up by Lloyd’s Finance, one more Mumbai-based finance
company that had picked up the name of an internationally known finance
company. Established in 1994, with a paid-up capital of Rs. 2.2 crore,
Lloyd’s Brokerage soon acquired the reputation in market circles of being
a “dynamic”, market-mover. However, when the BSE Sensex fell by 367 points
on a single day in mid-January 1997, the Securities and Exchange Board of
India (SEBI) launched an investigation that came to the conclusion that
there was prima-facie evidence that Lloyds Brokerage, was responsible for
the unusual volatility. By then the firm had changed its name to Euro
Asian Securities (EAS), consequent to a sale of 75 per cent of its stake
to Mauritius-based S N Investments. Speculative transactions, it appeared,
were key to the strategy of EAS, as it has been known to be of most
financial entities. However, whether for lack of adequate evidence or
other reasons, in October 1999, EAS was let of with an admonition by SEBI,
which even permitted the promoters to offload 25 per cent of their stake
through a public issue valued at Rs. 32.94 crore.
Armed with those funds EAS transformed itself into the internet-based
brokerage Home Trade, that was soon favoured with venture funding from two
new sources, Euro Discover Technology Ventures and Euro Discover, which
also established a second company called Ways India, Ltd. that functioned
as part of the Home Trade group.
Given this rather labyrinthine evolution of Home Trade from sources that
had been investigated for possible market manipulation and given its
seemingly irrational choice of area of operation and timing, the company
was seen by many, barring the regulators, as being an operation that was
suspect from the point of view of market prudence. Yet investigations into
Home Trade’s activities had to wait for the NABARD report on the Nagpur
District Central Cooperative Bank in April this year.
The route to discovering that Home Trade was a fragile venture that was
bound to collapse from losses suffered by investors who had handed over
large sums of money to the company, is indeed circuitous. After all by
March the financial press was reporting that both Home Trade and its
sister company Ways India were downsizing operations and retrenching
staff, many of whom had not been paid for some time. But neither the
regulators nor the media found reason to investigate a company that had
burnt up crores in a few months.
Sanjay Agarwal, who has since been arrested, is
reportedly himself unapologetic. While admitting to some “mismanagement”
in his debt servicing division, Agarwal is reported to have claimed that
Home Trade has a “great financial model”. At one level he is perhaps
right. His was a model of changing form to pursue every option of
speculative return that existed. When the project of earning huge
commissions through internet broking was found to be not working, he hoped
to make large sums by garnering funds for temporary speculative
transactions, by convincing clients to invest in g-secs in the expectation
that their prices would rise since the government was keen on driving down
interest rates. To find investors who would make their purchases through
him Agarwal offered an extra two per cent return on investments, and
targeted cash rich but poorly regulated sectors like the cooperative banks
and small provident funds. His gamble did not work, leading to his being
unable to deliver on his trades, but in keeping with what is the true
business of finance he at least gambled.
The difficulty about making Agarwal the whipping boy when he is already
well on the way down is that the exercise only serves to divert attention
from larger issues. These are that financial markets, where information
available to some is not available to others, are prone to speculation and
failure. They therefore need to be tightly controlled or regulated. But
India’s economic reform programme has not only liberalised these markets
substantially and devalued regulation, it has made the garnering of large
profits by financial entities a sign of “efficiency”. This legitimises
speculation, so long as you are not caught out because of failure.
One result is that when failures do occur it
is not the system put in place by reform that is blamed, but the
individuals who have been caught out because of failure. Liberalisation is
persisted with and financial failure recurs. The problem is that failures
affect not just the speculators or those involved in the bank-broker
speculative nexus. It also threatens to wipe out a part or the whole of
the savings of individuals, who have invested sums exceeding Rs. 1 lakh in
entities they do not control, but which they believe the government
regulates. It is this trust in government rather than the confidence
bought by huge publicity campaigns that finally explain the willingness of
small investors to hand money over to entities that are similar to those
who have known to have misused them in the past. Given that, it is not
enough if the government wakes up each time it is faced with what it
dismisses as a scam. It must undo the regime and the structures that
render the system fragile.
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