There are at least three different respects
in which Chinese reforms differ from what is happening in India. First,
while China has undertaken a massive export drive, the Chinese economy
has not opened itself to "liberal" imports in the same way
as the Indian economy has. China continues to be an import-restrictive
economy. Their tariff rates are much higher than in India and there
are direct import controls as well. In this respect China is following
much more closely the example of East Asian countries which kept their
own markets protected through tariff and non-tariff barriers even while
making encroachments on the international market. India by contrast
is opening her own market to foreign goods in the mistaken belief that
by doing so she would be able to capture foreign markets. As a matter
of fact in a period of world recession "import liberalisation"
simply enables foreign producers to capture our domestic market without
our being able to capture foreign markets to any comparable extent (in
manufacturing at any rate) which gives rise to a worsening of the balance
of payments as well as to domestic deindustrialisation.
Secondly, the Chinese economy, notwithstanding
all its reforms, remains one with substantial State ownership. The State-owned
units moreover are still amenable to central control, if not in their
day-to-day operation, then at any rate in a strategic sense. For instance
if the foreign exchange situation gets out of hand, State enterprises
can be immediately directed, as they were some years ago, to cut back
on import orders for investment projects. The country does not have
to accentuate its debt- burden; nor does it have to undertake any drastic
domestic deflation. In short, even when there is apparent freedom for
enterprises the economy retains the flexibility whereby centralised
command can be quickly made effective in a pre-crisis situation in order
to forestall a crisis. The reason for this flexibility lies in the fact
that China, by and large, retains both her economic sovereignty (much
of the foreign investment pouring into China incidentally is from overseas
Chinese and not from metropolitan countries) as well as pervasive State
ownership over the means of production. Those who draw parallels between
Chinese and Indian reforms tend to miss out on this crucial fact of
strategic flexibility which the Chinese retain and which we are in the
process of giving up.
Thirdly, the impressive Chinese growth performance
of recent years has been fuelled to a large extent by an expansion in
agricultural output. It is a case much more of agriculture-led growth
than of export-led growth. It is quite another matter that this agricultural
expansion has come about through reforms in selectively anti-collectivist
directions, but this expansion is at the core of Chinese growth. In
India however the new economic strategy, as we saw earlier, is not concerned
at all with raising the rate of agricultural growth (which in our specific
context requires land redistribution and a move towards a more egalitarian
social order in the countryside). For large countries like India and
China, to believe that rapid economic advance can be made without stepping
up agricultural growth through purposive State action is a chimera.