These sharp statements were important, because they indicated that the
possibility of any kind of "success" in the negotiations was unlikely even
leaving aside the street protests by NGOs and other groups that garnered
most of the publicity. Of course the post-mortem on the Seattle talks will
continue for some time, as different reasons for the failure are put
forward by different groups. Some NGOs have seen this as a famous victory,
and certainly the public protests were what dominated the headlines and
television screens.
But this would not have been enough to scuttle negotiations which have
been planned for more than a year, if at least one of the major players -
the US - had not played along. The US administration behaved like one
determined to kill these particular talks, whether in the cavalier and
arrogant manner in which it handled the negotiations, or in the way in
which Clinton used the street protests to push an agenda - linking trade
sanctions with labour and environmental standards - which had already been
rejected very clearly by most WTO members. In the process, the
US
also succeeded in sidelining the demands which had been made by most
developing countries for stocktaking and review of the Uruguay Round
Agreements and of the mode of functioning of the WTO.
But ascribing the failure of the talks to the US stance alone would be too
simplistic. In any case, the street protests themselves were far more wide
ranging than was projected by the US administration and the western media
- they encompassed not just Northern labour and environment issues but
also deep concerns of developing country citizens on the negative effects
of the functioning of the GATT agreements and the WTO so far. These ranged
from the adverse effects of more open economies on employment, work
security and labour conditions, to greater exposure and vulnerability to
international capital flows and less bargaining power vis-a-vis large
multinational companies, to reduced possibilities for autonomous
industrialisation and theft and monopoly of knowledge through the TRIPS
agreement.
In fact, the really significant fact about Seattle may be that, after a
very long time, many developing countries actually came together to voice
their concern at these processes and displeasure at the manner in which
decisions were being forced upon them. The absence of even a semblance of
unity among developing countries has been an important reason why they
have so far been unable to push through even a minimal common agenda at
the WTO. A more active and united approach at least on some basic areas of
concern would go a long way towards a more democratic and less unfair
agreement.
Thus it could be argued, as Martin Khor of Third World Network has
suggested, that "the more basic cause of the Seattle debacle was the
untransparent and undemocratic nature of the WTO system, the blatant
manipulation of that system by the major powers, and the refusal of many
developing countries to continue to be on the receiving end."
The seeds of what could therefore be seen as a kind of North-South battle
were sown in Geneva in the weeks before Seattle. A large number of
developing countries voiced their disillusionment that five years after
the WTO's creation they had not seen any benefits. Further, the poorer and
smaller countries face potentially enormous dislocation when they attempt
to implement their obligations arising from the WTO's many agreements.
In Geneva, such developing countries, including many of the Least
developed Countries, had put forward dozens of proposals to resolve the
"problems of implementation" of the WTO agreements, including changing
some of the rules. But most of their demands were summarily dismissed by
the major powers like US and EU. Instead, the latter pushed for their own
proposals to further empower the WTO through introducing new areas such as
investment, competition, government procurement, labour and environmental
standards.
The developing countries in general had been opposing these new issues
which they saw as either opening up their markets further to the rich
nations' big companies, or giving the rich nations new protectionist tools
to block imports from incipient industrialisers or semi-industrialised
countries. The road to Seattle was marked with some trepidation on their
part that these issues would be pushed through nonetheless, and indeed
that danger still remains once the work starts again in Geneva in January.
But the degree of disgust with the process which prompted the protest
statements may still work to give impetus to a common stand by many small
developing countries. |