This trend is seen as having been facilitated by changes in technology.
To start with, the revolution in transport and communications has
reduced costs and increased the ease of communication so substantially
that: (i) managerial control of internationally dispersed capacity has
become easier; and (ii) the share of transport costs (for inputs
purchased and outputs sold) in total costs has fallen dramatically in
the case of many commodities. Secondly, changes in technology have in
many industries segmented production processes, so that individual
components of the process can be undertaken independent of each other at
diverse sites. This permits firms to relocate particular (say, labour-intensive)
segments of even technology-intensive production processes to
alternative sites depending on their characteristics. Add to all this
the fact that over the last two decades or more there has been a rapid
dismantling of protective regimes and relaxation of regulations on
foreign investors across the globe, and the basis for a significant
change in the character of foreign investment should be clear. After
allowing for national peculiarities and variations in political
structures, any production site world-wide is becoming a potential site
for production for world markets. The individual firm is detached from
dependence on home country resources and has the opportunity to locate
itself in environments where it can overcome the disadvantages stemming
from specific macroeconomic developments such as appreciating exchange
rates or microeconomic features like high wage levels, and substantially
enhance its international competitiveness.
The BEA evidence, however, does not tally with this view that the
expansion of multinationals would be accompanied by a tendency where
growth in the periphery would be at the expense of presence in the
metropolis. As already mentioned, the acceleration in expansion of MNC
operations has been as true of the parent firms as of their MOFAs. This
is true of both gross product and of employment. Further, there has been
only one short span of time, 1989-94 when employment growth in US MNC
parents was marginally negative. And these were years when growth in the
US and worldwide had slowed, suggesting that employment movements during
those years were influenced more by macroeconomic trends than by
firm-level strategies.
Overall, the presence of parents in the global operations of MNCs still
remains strong. As Chart 3 shows, the share of MNC parents in the
worldwide gross product of US MNCs has remained more or less constant
during the years 1989-99. This is true in the case of all industries in
which MNCs participated, and of manufacturing, finance, insurance and
real estate (excluding depository institutions). It is only in services
that there has been a significant decline in parent share of gross
product during the latter half of the 1990s. This persisting presence of
parents in the economic activity of US MNCs, has also meant that the
contribution of US parent firms to US GDP has also remained relatively
constant during the period 1989-99 (Chart 4). Whether relocation
occurred or not, the parents of US multinationals were making a
significant and persisting contribution to overall US economic activity.
Chart
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Chart
4 >>
However, there are two confusing aspects to these trends. Another way of
assessing the impact of MNC operations is to examine the contribution of
MNC parents and affiliates to parent and host country GDP. Chart 4,
which examines the contribution of US parents to US gross product over a
longer period of time suggests that there was a sharp reduction (6
percentage points in ‘all industries’ and 8 percentage points in the
case of manufacturing) in the contribution of US parents to US MNCs GDP
between 1982 and 1989, followed by stability in that contribution
thereafter. Thus, if at all the relocation argument is supported by the
gross product figures, it appears to be during the early years of
globalisation.
It could of course be argued that this exercise, which requires
comparison of figures from the BEA’s benchmark surveys of US direct
foreign investment abroad and its National Income and Product Accounts,
could be fraught with problems. However, the BEA itself has in the past
attempted to adjust aggregate gross product figures to make them more
comparable with the FDI figures. For improved comparability with
U.S.-parent gross product, GDP of all private U.S. businesses was
adjusted to remove from the total categories not applicable to non-bank
U.S. parents— specifically, GDP of depository institutions; imputed
rental income of owner-occupied farm and non-farm housing; and rental
income of persons. The results yielded by this comparison of adjusted
figures provided in Chart 5 tallies with the view supported by Chart 4
that any loss of production due to relocation occurred, if at all,
during the early years of globalisation and not during its peak years in
the 1990s.
Chart
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