A Misleading Signal from the Trade Front*

Sep 22nd 2020, C.P. Chandrasekhar and Jayati Ghosh

The emergence of a trade surplus in India's balance of payments over the first five months of 2020-21 does not signal what it would in normal times. A closer analysis of the trade data traces the surplus to the behaviour of an economy in recession.

* This article was originally published in the Business Line on September 21, 2020.


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