In the policy ethos generated
by the government's economic reform, voluntary choices are often presented
as inevitable actions. Nowhere is this more evident than in the area
of trade policy. Being a signatory to the WTO, it is argued, makes
hard decisions with regard to quantitative restrictions, tariffs and
state support in the form of implicit or explicit subs idies 'unavoidable'.
Consider the situation with regard to the agricultural sector which
is still a source of livelihood for a substantial number of Indians.
In the name of India's commitments to the WTO, almost all quantitative
restrictions on imports of raw and processed agricultural products
have been withdrawn at a time when world prices have been falling
quite sharply. If this is resulting in a collapse of incomes earned
by coconut growers, rubber producers and cereal-producing farmers,
that outcome is regarded as the inevitable price that India must pay
for being a part of the international community. It is also seen as
the quid pro quo for the opportunity to engage international markets
and benefit from international trade.
There are two issues ignored by those advancing such an argument.
First, very often India's commitments have proved to be way beyond
even what the international community expects. Take for example, India's
zero tariff bindings on a range of agricultural commodities, including
the case of an item like rice which is a major crop cultivated in
the country. This had been done when India had recourse to quantitative
restrictions, but clearly, no thought had gone into what India accepted
as part of the Uruguay Round agreement in terms of the reduction of
trade restrictions since at that point of time acceptance was presented
as inevitable and unavoidable, and recourse was taken to the argument
that quantitative controls could continue since there was a balance
of payments problem. Simultaneously, however, Finance Ministry officials
went about boasting that the balance of payments was healthy and thus
evoked the demand from the US and other countries that India should
dismantle quotas. Inevitably, India lost her case for maintaining
quotas, and when the time for removing quantitative restrictions arrived,
by which time international prices had fallen significantly, this
commitment proved too much for even India's unthinking reformers to
swallow. Fortunately for the government, India's trading partners,
including the most powerful within and outside the WTO like the US
and Europe, accepted this commitment as being 'excessive'. In the
event, as part of the process of doing away the quantitative restrictions,
the government renegotiated its tariff bindings, allowing it the freedom
to raise tariffs to as much as 80 per cent from zero in the case of
rice. Put simply, neither is what India accepted inevitable, nor is
it sacrosanct once accepted.
The second issue that is ignored is the fact that even the strongest
among the world's trading nations, which would be the ones to benefit
the most from a free and liberal trade regime, are aware of the dangers
of openness and the benefits of intervention. This is most visible
in the agricultural arena, which is a site for intense conflict between
the members of the OECD, the club of the world's richest nations.
Brought into the mainstream of the multilateral trading agenda only
during the Uruguay Round, this was an area where the least concessions
were on offer from those trading blocs and nations like the EU and
Japan, which had the most to give. In the event, a traditional and
more 'labour intensive' sector proved to be one which threatened to
completely derail WTO negotiations because of what the US considered
the intransigence of the EU, Japan and some Southeast Asian countries.
The bone of contention was the massive support being offered by many
European countries to their agricultural sectors, which effectively
closed their markets to exporters from elsewhere.
It is indeed true that finally even these countries accepted some
of the rules with regard to agricultural trade that were formulated
as part of the Uruguay Round. But they as well as the US, even while
making a show of accepting WTO norms, shifted to emphasising forms
of support which were WTO compatible because they ostensibly are non-distorting
from a trade point of view. To facilitate that transition, policies
of agricultural support were conveniently placed in 'boxes' labeled
red, green and blue, with only those in the red box treated as WTO
incompatible. The shift away from red to green and blue box policies
has, of course, been combined with contentious trade barriers which
have provided the staple for the activities of the WTO's Dispute Settlement
Panel. According to a recently prepared analysis from the OECD Secretariat,
the overall cost to consumers and tax payers of the agricultural policies
of its member governments amounted to $361 million in 1999 or 1.4
per cent of GDP. Support to agricultural producers amounted to 40
per cent of the value of farm receipts.
The forms of intervention through which such support is provided include,
in the main, production subsidies and trade barriers, which according
to the Secretariat "distort production and trade, reduce economic
efficiency and may damage the environment". And those benefiting
from such support are not small or marginal farmers, but the most
productive and profitable ones. The top 25 per cent of farms as measured
by their annual sales values accounted for 90 per cent of the support
provided by these governments.