To start with, in areas like paging and
cellular services, entrants are limited by the need
to allocate frequencies from a limited frequency spectrum.
This gives them an oligopolistic position which can
yield rents. Second, since provision of basic services
requires provision of the "right of way" to
build the network crossing public property and using
public assets (like telephone poles, say), excessive
entry can lead to "congestion" with adverse
social consequences. Here again those private operators
permitted to enter become eligible for rents. Third,
even though in liberalising mode, the government cannot
allow unfettered entry into an area which inevitably
involves large sunk costs in infrastructure. In the
rush for occupying the market, the industry could get
saddled with huge excess capacities leading to waste.
Thus, though private entry was to be allowed, originally
only two operators were to be permitted entry in each
circle. Finally, since the idea of opening up the sector
is not just to encourage the entry of private operators
but also to expand the network, private sector entrants
would have to be allowed to interconnect with the existing
public utility network. Given the "externality"
associated with a telecom network, which makes the utility
of a network a function of its size, the private operator
derives substantial "unpriced" benefits from
interconnectivity.
It is the existence of rents in all these forms that
justifies the levy of a licence fee on private entrants.
The question remains, however, as to how this levy should
be computed. The problem is that all the benefits derived
by private operators are not from "goods"
that have markets. Hence the market itself cannot compute
these gains on the basis of prices it generates. It
is essential that the government or any of its regulatory
arms should, on the basis of a detailed investigation,
normatively impute a cost to the benefits being handed
over to private operators. Rather than resort to such
a procedure, and in keeping with its belief in liberalisation
and the benefits of the market mechanism, the government
decided to let private operators themselves 'price'
these gains by bidding for the licences on offer in
the different telecom circles.
The result of that auctioning procedure is now history.
Private operators, driven by the liberalisation fever
into speculation, based on over-optimistic projections
of market potential and counting on unusually low costs
of operation, made bids that were irrational both in
terms of the number of circles which were sought by
individual operators and the size of the bid in monetary
terms. Once the bids were opened and licences offered
to the highest bidder, three consequences followed.
Some potential operators (like Himmachal Futuristic)
withdrew their offers in many of the less promising
circles, delaying the process of identifying the potential
operators. Yet others bidders were soon convinced of
their folly by their inability to obtain support from
financiers for their proposals. And finally, of those
who went ahead with their projects, quite a few found
themselves unable to meet the commitments they had made
themselves. Tables 1 and 2 provide the licence fee commitments
made by those operators who remained in the fray after
the initial withdrawals and Tables 3 and 4 provide the
amounts which remained due as on 31 March 1999.
Table
1 >> Click
to Enlarge
Table
2 >> Click
to Enlarge
Table
3 >> Click
to Enlarge
Table
4 >> Click
to Enlarge
In such a situation, there are two approaches which can be adopted.
Within the logic of the liberalisation ethos, it could
be argued that the state should maintain its distance
and make the investor pay the price for foolhardiness.
Bankruptcy and closure would follow. The bidding process
can operate again, and the new winners may be the same
groups or others who may buy up the infrastructure created
by the original players. The second approach would be
one which recognises that the premise on which much
of liberalisation works - that markets are efficient
- was and is wrong. This would require a transition
out of the current licence fee regime to one which allows
operators to remain viable. This was what the government
had decided to do, through a scheme involving a revenue
sharing agreement between DoT and the private operators,
rather than a fixed licence fee.
There were still two problems here, however.
First, there was no reason why those cellular operators
whose irrational bidding generated the mess, should
be the natural beneficiaries of this transition. Especially
because their irrational bidding may have kept out of
the industry players who had greater capabilities in
the telecom area and a more sober assessment of market
conditions. Second, writing off past dues would amount
to subsidising the speculative bidders rather than penalising
them.
Mr. Jagmohan, in his brief tenure as Communications
Minister, was clear on both these counts. He backed
a scheme involving a one time entry fee and a revenue
sharing agreement, to implement which there would be
a new round of bidding in which existing operators could
participate. The idea was that, if the existing operator
lost out in that bidding process, he would be bought
out by the winner at a price arrived at by an independent
valuer. But the transition to that scheme was to be
prospective. Meanwhile, companies had to pay up a minimum
of 20 per cent of their outstanding dues and securitise
the remaining part. Some operators agreed and obliged.
Others like Koshika amd JT Mobile held out, leading
to a cancellation of their licences and a termination
of the connection to the DoT network. When the action
was challenged in court, the judges backed the Communications
Minister.
Yet, when the government finally decided to make the
transition, it chose to sacrifice its Communications
Minister, who was moved out of his job, and let the
operators get away without paying for their folly. They
were required to pay a sum equal to their dues on fees
on existing licences as on 31 July 1999 as an entry
fee into the revenue sharing regime. They were also
expected to subsequently pay a revenue share (tentatively
fixed at 15 per cent) to the government. The actual
estimation of a reasonable licence fee was left to be
computed by the TRAI at a later date. This surrender
to the private operators was the first blow to the credibility
of the government's regulatory framework.
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